The takeaway
IPG Photonics Corporation shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in November (+2.7%) and softest in March (−1.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +0.3%, roughly 1.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
IPG Photonics Corporation's most dependable month has been November, higher in 8 of 10 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+2.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in August (−4.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is IPG Photonics Corporation’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating IPG Photonics Corporation’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 60% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — November. It has closed higher in 8 of 10 Novembers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
A typical November brings +1.2%, a shade under the +2.7% average. No month is steadier: November's returns vary by just 5.9% year to year, and even its worst November in 10 years lost only 7.3% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Set against the S&P 500, mind, November is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. Few peers keep such company in November — the typical stock clears it just 62% of the time.
November anchors a run, too: the October-through-January window has been the stock's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−1.5%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in August, April, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −26.7% May in 2019 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
At its steadiest, November strung together 8 straight positive years. The pattern has softened of late, November's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
For a stock this dependable in November, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (November, +2.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −1.5%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +2.7% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade