The takeaway
Disc Medicine Inc. shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 6 years of data — strongest in August (+7.6%) and softest in March (−9.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 40% of years, averaging −4.9%, roughly 7.1 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Disc Medicine Inc.'s most dependable month has been August, higher in 5 of 6 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+7.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−10.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Disc Medicine Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Disc Medicine Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 80% of the time versus 83% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — August. It has closed higher in 5 of 6 Augusts, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+7.6%) and median (+6.0%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. No month is steadier: August's returns vary by just 7.6% year to year, and even its worst August in 6 years lost only 2.5% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — August has outpaced the S&P 500 by +7.3 points on average. Few peers keep such company in August — the typical stock clears it just 52% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — January, February, and April have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. On the other side of the ledger, March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−9.5%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, December, and July. Its roughest month on record was a −59.3% December in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in August, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 6-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2020 its best month (August, +7.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −9.5%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +7.6% and closing higher in 5 of 6 years since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −9.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade