The takeaway
Newegg Commerce Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in January (+8.9%) and softest in December (−23.3%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +34.4%, about +32.3 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Newegg Commerce Inc's most dependable month has been January, higher in 5 of 9 years; December has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+32.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in December (−24.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Newegg Commerce Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Newegg Commerce Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, January has closed higher 40% of the time versus 56% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
January looks the standout, up in 5 of 9 Januaries — yet the appeal is lumpy, leaning on the occasional blow-out year rather than dependable strength.
The headline flatters a touch — its +8.9% average sits well above the +1.9% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Januaries. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even January ranges by 39.4% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: January has cleared the S&P 500 by +9.1 points above the index.
The weaker half of the year is plainer: December has been the soft spot — the weakest of 7 months that average a loss (−23.3%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in December, August, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −64.7% February in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, January's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
Hold it loosely, then: the January tendency is genuine but lumpy, more about the occasional outsized year than a gain to bank on. With returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (January), its worst (December), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (January, +8.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (December, −23.3%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
January has been the strongest, averaging +8.9% and closing higher in 5 of 9 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −23.3% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade