The takeaway
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in November (+5.4%) and softest in September (−2.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 67% of years, averaging +0.8%, roughly 1.4 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.'s most dependable month has been November, higher in 5 of 7 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 17% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+5.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−6.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 71% across the last 7 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — November. It has closed higher in 5 of 7 Novembers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+5.4%) runs well ahead of the median (+2.8%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.1 points on average. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — November rises for about 62% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — May and July have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. On the other side of the ledger, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−2.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, April, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −30.1% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in November, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 7-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2019 its best month (November, +5.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −2.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +5.4% and closing higher in 5 of 7 years since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade