The takeaway
Taseko Mines Ltd shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in December (+8.5%) and softest in October (−3.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +1.6%, roughly 0.6 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Taseko Mines Ltd's most dependable month has been December, higher in 8 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in September (+8.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−4.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Taseko Mines Ltd’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Taseko Mines Ltd’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, December has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) December return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. December stands out, higher in 8 of 10 Decembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+8.5%) and median (+8.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even December ranges by 17.6% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: December has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.5 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages December only about 58% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: April, September, and November have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−3.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, May, and February. Its roughest month on record was a −35.1% May in 2019 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, December's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: December aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (December), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (December, +8.5%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −3.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
December has been the strongest, averaging +8.5% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade