The takeaway
Manchester United Ltd shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in August (+7.3%) and softest in September (−3.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 60% of years, averaging −0.1%, roughly 2.2 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Manchester United Ltd's most dependable month has been August, higher in 8 of 10 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+7.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−4.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Manchester United Ltd’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Manchester United Ltd’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 100% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: August, up in 8 of 10 Augusts while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+7.3%) and median (+5.5%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even August ranges by 9.6% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: August has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.0 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages August only about 52% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: April, July, and November have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−3.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, March, and January. Its roughest month on record was a −23.0% February in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
August has now closed higher 6 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Augusts run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: August aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (August, +7.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −3.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +7.3% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade