The takeaway
Constellation Brands Inc Class A shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in April (+6.0%) and softest in February (−2.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +0.3%, roughly 1.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Constellation Brands Inc Class A's most dependable month has been April, higher in 9 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in April (+4.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−3.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Constellation Brands Inc Class A’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Constellation Brands Inc Class A’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, April has closed higher 80% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) April return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: April, up in 9 of 10 Aprils while the other eleven tend to blur together.
The headline flatters a touch — its +6.0% average sits well above the +3.4% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Aprils. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: April has cleared the S&P 500 by +4.3 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages April only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: March, June, and July have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−2.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, February, and July. Its roughest month on record was a −19.1% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
At its steadiest, April strung together 8 straight positive years. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: April aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (April), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (April, +6.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −2.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
April has been the strongest, averaging +6.0% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade